Fear of crime

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1. Main facts and figures

  • in 2015/16, around a fifth of adults in England and Wales believed that they were either ‘very likely’ or ‘fairly likely’ to be a victim of crime in the next year

  • the figures for fear of crime have remained consistent between 2013 and 2016 for all adults

  • in 2015/16, a smaller proportion of White adults reported fear of crime compared with Asian adults, adults from Other ethnicities and Black adults

  • Asian adults and adults from the Other ethnic background category had the highest levels of fear of crime

Things you need to know

These figures are based on the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW).

The CSEW is a face-to-face survey in which adults aged 16 or over living in England and Wales are asked about their experiences of a selected range of criminal offences in the 12 months prior to the interview.

The CSEW is able to capture a broad range of victim-based crimes experienced by those interviewed, not just those that have been reported to, and recorded by, the police. However, there are some high harm but relatively lower-volume offences, such as homicide and sexual offences, which are not included in its main estimates.

Since October 2015, the survey has included fraud and computer misuse. However, as data from before this point is not available, the statistics and commentary presented here exclude fraud and computer misuse offences.

Estimates based on a larger number of respondents are generally more reliable. Therefore, the smaller numbers of respondents from ethnic minority backgrounds mean that estimates for these groups are less reliable than estimates for White people.

Estimates based on fewer than 50 responses are excluded, as they are considered less reliable.

In some instances, 3 years' worth of CSEW data have been combined. This allows us to increase the numbers of respondents and increase the reliability of the data, providing more detailed breakdowns.

CSEW is a sample survey and produces estimates with a margin of error around them, so users should consider this when interpreting data.

What the data measures

This data measures the proportion of the population who have a fear of crime and is based on information from the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW).

Both victims and non-victims of crime were asked ‘How likely do you think you personally are to be a victim of crime in the next year?’, and offered a choice of responses on a 4-point scale ranging from ‘very unlikely’ to ‘very likely’.

The survey classed people who answer ‘very likely’ or ‘fairly likely’ as having a fear of crime.

The ethnic categories used in this data

Where possible, this data includes the 18 ethnic categories listed in the 2011 Census, plus 'Unknown'.

White:

  • English/ Welsh/ Scottish/ Northern Irish/ British
  • Irish
  • Gypsy, Traveller or Irish Traveller
  • Any other White background

Mixed/Multiple ethnic groups:

  • White and Black Caribbean
  • White and Black African
  • White and Asian
  • Any other Mixed/ Multiple ethnic background

Asian/Asian British:

  • Indian
  • Pakistani
  • Bangladeshi
  • Chinese
  • Any other Asian background

Black/African/Caribbean/Black British:

  • African
  • Caribbean
  • Any other Black/African/Caribbean background

Other ethnic group:

  • Arab
  • Any other ethnic group

Unknown

However, in cases where the number of people surveyed (the ‘sample size’) was too small to draw any firm conclusions, the CSEW breaks the data down into the following broader categories.

Either 5 ethnic categories:

  • White
  • Mixed / Multiple ethnic groups
  • Asian / Asian British
  • Black / African / Caribbean / Black British
  • Other ethnic group

Or 2 ethnic categories: White and Other, that is, White ethnic groups (including White British and White ethnic minorities) compared with all other ethnic minorities

2. Fear of crime by ethnicity

Location:
England and Wales
Time period:
2013/14 to 2015/16
Source:
Crime Survey for England and Wales, year ending March 2016
Percentage and number of adults who had a fear of crime by ethnicity
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Ethnicity 2013/14 % 2013/14 Number 2014/15 % 2014/15 Number 2015/16 % 2015/16 Number
All 19 34,684 19 32,702 19 34,566
Asian 31 1,766 28 1,578 27 1,712
Bangladeshi 34 132 29 119 31 130
Chinese 15 165 19 131 16 166
Indian 33 744 29 642 27 694
Pakistani 35 388 27 375 30 400
Asian other 29 337 30 311 26 322
Black 27 918 24 875 26 854
Black African 23 542 22 509 25 504
Black Caribbean 32 331 26 309 28 292
Black other withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 45 26 57 28 58
Mixed 29 329 20 303 21 359
Mixed White/Asian 33 77 18 88 21 93
Mixed White/Black African withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 45 withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 45 withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 43
Mixed White/Black Caribbean 25 119 21 97 18 133
Mixed other 25 88 27 73 26 90
White 18 31,414 17 29,681 18 31,352
White British 18 29,565 17 27,990 18 29,458
White Irish 21 316 17 295 20 280
White Gypsy/Traveller withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 12 withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 10 withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 15
White other 20 1,521 19 1,386 21 1,599
Other 25 229 26 223 27 235
Arab 21 86 25 79 30 84
Any other 27 143 26 144 25 151

Data withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable

Download table data for ‘Fear of crime by ethnicity ’ (CSV) Source data for ‘Fear of crime by ethnicity ’ (CSV)

Summary of Fear of crime Fear of crime by ethnicity Summary

This data shows that:

  • in 2015/16, almost a third of Bangladeshi adults expressed a fear of crime, a higher proportion than that of adults in the White British, White Irish, Other White, Mixed White and Black Caribbean, or Chinese ethnic groups. Sample sizes are too small to draw firm conclusions for the remaining ethnic groups

  • White British adults reported a lower fear of crime than all Asian groups except for Chinese people

  • only the Indian ethnic group saw a change in levels of fear of crime, with the proportion expressing fear falling from 33% in 2013/14 to 27% in 2015/16. Although survey estimates show differences in the levels of fear of crime over time for various ethnic groups in this sample, these are not reliable enough to draw any conclusions, about differences within these groups.

3. Fear of crime by ethnicity and gender

Location:
England and Wales
Time period:
2013/14 to 2015/16 (3 years combined)
Source:
Crime Survey for England and Wales, year ending March 2016
Percentage and number of adults who had a fear of crime by ethnicity and gender
All Male Female
Ethnicity All % All Number Male % Male Number Female % Female Number
Asian 29 5,056 28 2,528 30 2,528
Black 26 2,647 23 1,118 28 1,529
Mixed 23 991 23 411 23 580
White 18 92,447 18 42,015 18 50,432
Other 26 687 26 360 27 327

Download table data for ‘Fear of crime by ethnicity and gender’ (CSV) Source data for ‘Fear of crime by ethnicity and gender’ (CSV)

Summary of Fear of crime Fear of crime by ethnicity and gender Summary

When the figures for the last 3 years are combined, this data shows that:

  • men and women within the White, Mixed, Asian and Other ethnic groups shared a similar fear of crime

  • among Black people, men feared crime less than women

  • both White men and White women were less likely to fear crime than men and women from Black, Mixed, Asian or Other ethnic groups

4. Fear of crime by ethnicity and age

Location:
England and Wales
Time period:
2013/14 to 2015/16 (3 years combined)
Source:
Crime Survey for England and Wales, year ending March 2016
Percentage and number of adults who had a fear of crime by ethnicity and age
Asian Black Mixed White Other
Age group Asian % Asian Number Black % Black Number Mixed % Mixed Number White % White Number Other % Other Number
16-24 24 563 20 282 23 207 18 6,470 20 85
25-34 28 1,327 24 518 20 250 20 12,492 25 172
35-44 31 1,414 25 698 25 221 22 13,988 31 189
45-54 31 775 32 598 26 156 20 15,879 30 109
55-64 35 513 28 271 29 70 19 15,444 24 63
65-74 28 329 34 152 21 61 15 15,539 withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 41
75+ 27 135 14 128 withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 26 9 12,635 withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 28

Data withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable

Download table data for ‘Fear of crime by ethnicity and age’ (CSV) Source data for ‘Fear of crime by ethnicity and age’ (CSV)

Summary of Fear of crime Fear of crime by ethnicity and age Summary

When the figures for the last 3 years are combined, this data shows that:

  • for the 16 to 24 age group there was no difference in fear of crime between White people and other ethnicities, with the exception of Asian people, who were more likely to fear crime

  • The biggest difference in fear of crime between different ethnic groups was found in the two oldest age groups

  • a third of Black people aged 65 to 74 expressed a fear of crime compared to almost a sixth of White people in that age group

  • among White people aged 75 and over, only 9% feared crime, compared to 27% of Asian people in the same age group

  • Asian people in all age groups were more likely to fear crime than White people

5. Fear of crime by ethnicity and socio-economic group

Location:
England and Wales
Time period:
2013/14 to 2015/16 (3 years combined)
Source:
Crime Survey for England and Wales, year ending March 2016
Percentage and number of adults who had a fear of crime by ethnicity and socio-economic status
Asian Black Mixed White Other
Socio-economic group Asian % Asian Number Black % Black Number Mixed % Mixed Number White % White Number Other % Other Number
Managerial and professional occupations 28 1,618 26 778 21 332 17 31,910 28 195
Intermediate occupations 34 1,035 27 447 24 195 19 21,907 25 124
Routine and manual occupations 30 1,389 28 954 23 304 19 32,943 23 167
Never worked and long-term unemployed 26 556 19 226 30 55 20 2,758 34 97
Full time students 23 418 22 221 25 101 15 2,442 22 102
Not classified withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 40 withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 21 withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 4 17 487 withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable 2

Data withheld because a small sample size makes it unreliable

Download table data for ‘Fear of crime by ethnicity and socio-economic group’ (CSV) Source data for ‘Fear of crime by ethnicity and socio-economic group’ (CSV)

Summary of Fear of crime Fear of crime by ethnicity and socio-economic group Summary

When the figures for the last 3 years are combined, this data shows that:

  • adults in managerial and professional jobs and full-time students were generally less fearful of crime than adults in other occupations

  • within the managerial and professional category, White people were less likely to fear crime than most other ethnicities

  • unemployed White adults were less fearful of crime than unemployed adults of Other ethnicity and unemployed Asian adults

6. Methodology

The data is all drawn from the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW), which is a continuous survey, and broken down by ethnic group, as reported by survey respondents.

CSEW estimates are based on analysis of structured face-to-face interviews carried out using computer-assisted personal interviewing (CAPI). Data is weighted and two stages are used in the weighting of the CSEW sample. In 2015/16, the response rate was 72%.

The CSEW is a household sample survey and, as such, estimates are based on a representative sample of the population of England and Wales aged 16 and over. A sample, as used in the CSEW, is a small-scale representation of the population from which it is drawn.

The CSEW collects information from approximately 35,000 households each year. Since those responses reflect only a fraction of the total population of England and Wales, a procedure is used to give different weights to different households and individuals based on their sex / age / region composition in such a way that the weighted distribution of responding household and individuals in these households matches the known distribution in the population as a whole.

First, weights are applied to the raw data to compensate for unequal address selection probabilities (given, some areas are more populated than others), to compensate for the observed variation in response rates between different types of neighbourhood, to compensate for situations in which only one dwelling unit can be selected in multiple ‘dwelling unit' households and to account for different probabilities of a respondent being selected based on different sized households.

Second, calibration weighting is used to make adjustments for known differentials in response rates between different regions and between different age by six sub-groups.

Suppression rules and disclosure control

Estimates from the Crime Survey for England and Wales have National Statistics status.

National Statistics are a subset of official statistics which have been certified by the UK Statistics Authority as compliant with its Code of Practice for Official Statistics, including requirements on disclosure control. Estimates based on a number of respondents (known as the 'unweighted base') that is less than 50 are suppressed as these estimates are deemed to be less reliable.

Rounding

Estimates in the charts and tables are given to the nearest whole number but more detailed estimates to 1 decimal place are available in the download

Further technical information

Accuracy: Since the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) is based on a sample of the population, estimates have a margin of quantifiable and non-quantifiable error associated with them. Non-quantifiable error includes:

  • when respondents have recalled crimes in the reference period that actually occurred outside that period
  • crimes that did occur in the reference period that were not mentioned at all (either because respondents failed to recall a fairly trivial incident or, conversely, because they did not want to disclose an incident, such as a domestic assault)
  • respondents saying they reported crimes to police when they did not (a 'socially desirable' response)
  • some incidents reported during the interview being miscoded ('interviewer or coder error')

Coverage issues: The CSEW does not cover those living in communal establishments (such as care homes, student halls of residence and prisons), or crimes against commercial or public sector bodies.

7. Data sources

Source

Type of data

Survey data

Type of statistic

National Statistics

Publisher

Office for National Statistics

Publication frequency

Yearly

Purpose of data source

The Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) is a face-to-face survey in which people living in households in England and Wales are asked about their experiences of a selected range of criminal offences in the 12 months prior to the interview.

The CSEW is able to capture a broad range of victim-based crimes experienced by those interviewed, not just those that have been reported to, and recorded by, the police.

8. Download the data

Fear of crime - Spreadsheet (csv) 97 KB

This file contains the following: ethnicity, year, geography, gender, socio-economic status, value, denominator

Publication release date: 10 October 2017

full page history
  1. First published

From: Office for National Statistics

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